It also shows the premium status and customer satisfaction every month, which interprets customer satisfaction as around 48%, and customers are delighted with their insurance plans. Claim rate, however, is lower standing on just 3.04%. Using a series of machine learning algorithms, this study provides a computational intelligence approach for predicting healthcare insurance costs. In neural network forecasting, usually the results get very close to the true or actual values simply because this model can be iteratively be adjusted so that errors are reduced. Predicting the cost of claims in an insurance company is a real-life problem that needs to be solved in a more accurate and automated way. Health-Insurance-claim-prediction-using-Linear-Regression, SLR - Case Study - Insurance Claim - [v1.6 - 13052020].ipynb. A building without a fence had a slightly higher chance of claiming as compared to a building with a fence. This algorithm for Boosting Trees came from the application of boosting methods to regression trees. Results indicate that an artificial NN underwriting model outperformed a linear model and a logistic model. Logs. for the project. Approach : Pre . thats without even mentioning the fact that health claim rates tend to be relatively low and usually range between 1% to 10%,) it is not surprising that predicting the number of health insurance claims in a specific year can be a complicated task. Most of the cost is attributed to the 'type-2' version of diabetes, which is typically diagnosed in middle age. provide accurate predictions of health-care costs and repre-sent a powerful tool for prediction, (b) the patterns of past cost data are strong predictors of future . The prediction will focus on ensemble methods (Random Forest and XGBoost) and support vector machines (SVM). Many Git commands accept both tag and branch names, so creating this branch may cause unexpected behavior. Predicting the cost of claims in an insurance company is a real-life problem that needs to be solved in a more accurate and automated way. (2016), ANN has the proficiency to learn and generalize from their experience. The data was in structured format and was stores in a csv file format. In fact, the term model selection often refers to both of these processes, as, in many cases, various models were tried first and best performing model (with the best performing parameter settings for each model) was selected. 2 shows various machine learning types along with their properties. We explored several options and found that the best one, for our purposes, section 3) was actually a single binary classification model where we predict for each record, We had to do a small adjustment to account for the records with 2 claims, but youll have to wait to part II of this blog to read more about that, are records which made at least one claim, and our, are records without any claims. A tag already exists with the provided branch name. ANN has the ability to resemble the basic processes of humans behaviour which can also solve nonlinear matters, with this feature Artificial Neural Network is widely used with complicated system for computations and classifications, and has cultivated on non-linearity mapped effect if compared with traditional calculating methods. Continue exploring. We had to have some kind of confidence intervals, or at least a measure of variance for our estimator in order to understand the volatility of the model and to make sure that the results we got were not just. ). The algorithm correctly determines the output for inputs that were not a part of the training data with the help of an optimal function. Several factors determine the cost of claims based on health factors like BMI, age, smoker, health conditions and others. ). The presence of missing, incomplete, or corrupted data leads to wrong results while performing any functions such as count, average, mean etc. Health Insurance Claim Prediction Using Artificial Neural Networks: 10.4018/IJSDA.2020070103: A number of numerical practices exist that actuaries use to predict annual medical claim expense in an insurance company. Claim rate is 5%, meaning 5,000 claims. Among the four models (Decision Trees, SVM, Random Forest and Gradient Boost), Gradient Boost was the best performing model with an accuracy of 0.79 and was selected as the model of choice. For some diseases, the inpatient claims are more than expected by the insurance company. Claims received in a year are usually large which needs to be accurately considered when preparing annual financial budgets. In the next blog well explain how we were able to achieve this goal. The data has been imported from kaggle website. Premium amount prediction focuses on persons own health rather than other companys insurance terms and conditions. And, to make thing more complicated each insurance company usually offers multiple insurance plans to each product, or to a combination of products. The train set has 7,160 observations while the test data has 3,069 observations. These claim amounts are usually high in millions of dollars every year. Backgroun In this project, three regression models are evaluated for individual health insurance data. Model giving highest percentage of accuracy taking input of all four attributes was selected to be the best model which eventually came out to be Gradient Boosting Regression. A decision tree with decision nodes and leaf nodes is obtained as a final result. In this learning, algorithms take a set of data that contains only inputs, and find structure in the data, like grouping or clustering of data points. According to Zhang et al. numbers were altered by the same factor in order to enhance confidentiality): 568,260 records in the train set with claim rate of 5.26%. Later they can comply with any health insurance company and their schemes & benefits keeping in mind the predicted amount from our project. Understand and plan the modernization roadmap, Gain control and streamline application development, Leverage the modern approach of development, Build actionable and data-driven insights, Transitioning to the future of industrial transformation with Analytics, Data and Automation, Incorporate automation, efficiency, innovative, and intelligence-driven processes, Accelerate and elevate the adoption of digital transformation with artificial intelligence, Walkthrough of next generation technologies and insights on future trends, Helping clients achieve technology excellence, Download Now and Get Access to the detailed Use Case, Find out more about How your Enterprise The size of the data used for training of data has a huge impact on the accuracy of data. These decision nodes have two or more branches, each representing values for the attribute tested. Insurance Claims Risk Predictive Analytics and Software Tools. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. This amount needs to be included in the yearly financial budgets. An increase in medical claims will directly increase the total expenditure of the company thus affects the profit margin. Whereas some attributes even decline the accuracy, so it becomes necessary to remove these attributes from the features of the code. And its also not even the main issue. Medical claims refer to all the claims that the company pays to the insured's, whether it be doctors' consultation, prescribed medicines or overseas treatment costs. A tag already exists with the provided branch name. A key challenge for the insurance industry is to charge each customer an appropriate premium for the risk they represent. This fact underscores the importance of adopting machine learning for any insurance company. Many techniques for performing statistical predictions have been developed, but, in this project, three models Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), Decision tree regression and Gradient Boosting Regression were tested and compared. The model was used to predict the insurance amount which would be spent on their health. At the same time fraud in this industry is turning into a critical problem. (2013) that would be able to predict the overall yearly medical claims for BSP Life with the main aim of reducing the percentage error for predicting. Although every problem behaves differently, we can conclude that Gradient Boost performs exceptionally well for most classification problems. Medical claims refer to all the claims that the company pays to the insureds, whether it be doctors consultation, prescribed medicines or overseas treatment costs. Medical claims refer to all the claims that the company pays to the insureds, whether it be doctors consultation, prescribed medicines or overseas treatment costs. Machine Learning Prediction Models for Chronic Kidney Disease Using National Health Insurance Claim Data in Taiwan Healthcare (Basel) . A building in the rural area had a slightly higher chance claiming as compared to a building in the urban area. Insurance Claim Prediction Problem Statement A key challenge for the insurance industry is to charge each customer an appropriate premium for the risk they represent. "Health Insurance Claim Prediction Using Artificial Neural Networks." Health Insurance Claim Prediction Using Artificial Neural Networks Authors: Akashdeep Bhardwaj University of Petroleum & Energy Studies Abstract and Figures A number of numerical practices exist. Several factors determine the cost of claims based on health factors like BMI, age, smoker, health conditions and others. The second part gives details regarding the final model we used, its results and the insights we gained about the data and about ML models in the Insuretech domain. The goal of this project is to allows a person to get an idea about the necessary amount required according to their own health status. Model performance was compared using k-fold cross validation. was the most common category, unfortunately). In particular using machine learning, insurers can be able to efficiently screen cases, evaluate them with great accuracy and make accurate cost predictions. A key challenge for the insurance industry is to charge each customer an appropriate premium for the risk they represent. Fig 3 shows the accuracy percentage of various attributes separately and combined over all three models. Health Insurance Claim Fraud Prediction Using Supervised Machine Learning Techniques IJARTET Journal Abstract The healthcare industry is a complex system and it is expanding at a rapid pace. In a dataset not every attribute has an impact on the prediction. The dataset is comprised of 1338 records with 6 attributes. It is very complex method and some rural people either buy some private health insurance or do not invest money in health insurance at all. In health insurance many factors such as pre-existing body condition, family medical history, Body Mass Index (BMI), marital status, location, past insurances etc affects the amount. can Streamline Data Operations and enable In this article, we have been able to illustrate the use of different machine learning algorithms and in particular ensemble methods in claim prediction. insurance claim prediction machine learning. In fact, Mckinsey estimates that in Germany alone insurers could save about 500 Million Euros each year by adopting machine learning systems in healthcare insurance. A tag already exists with the provided branch name. Dong et al. Predicting the cost of claims in an insurance company is a real-life problem that needs to be solved in a more accurate and automated way. (2016), neural network is very similar to biological neural networks. This research focusses on the implementation of multi-layer feed forward neural network with back propagation algorithm based on gradient descent method. the last issue we had to solve, and also the last section of this part of the blog, is that even once we trained the model, got individual predictions, and got the overall claims estimator it wasnt enough. Email, and website in this industry is turning into a critical problem accuracy... Critical problem claim rate is 5 %, meaning 5,000 claims attributes separately and combined over three... 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